Hello,
Thanks for sharing the application of statistics in your case. If it helps, I am a six sigma black belt and I have been using statistics for the past 12 years for hypothesis testing, scenario generation, modeling, optimization and application development.
I take the liberty to presume that, probabilistic modeling is what you have as a requirement.
I would begin by sharing my understanding and probable approach to the problem as the first checkpoint.
I would then get on to designing the solution, breaking it into manageable, non-conflicting modules, which help us sail through the complexity. I estimate I would require your attention, 3/4 times during this engagement. We can estimate the correct time schedules in chat